Canadian election coverage has a habit of reducing a complex, riding-by-riding story into a single national poll number. What does it actually mean when the Liberals are at 42%, and the Conservatives are at 33%? How does that break down in the 343 seats in the House of Commons? And how do these political realities effect Canadian lives?
Northern Vibe is a tool to help answer your political questions and visually display results in real time. We’re an independent electoral platform built to make it easy for anyone, not just political scientists, to explore how shifts in public opinion translate into political realities. Find your riding on the map and see your local demographic breakdown, MP’s election history, and the most pressing news stories in your area. The Canadian government is here to represent us, so tell them what matters most to you.
What’s on the Platform
Northern Vibe runs on four pillars you can explore anytime at NorthernVibe.ca
Simulation Map: 343 ridings, projected in real time from current polling. Drag the scenario sliders to build your own national picture and watch seats shift. Or rewind to the 2025 election and see how we got here.
Vibe Check: See how the media is framing national sentiment weekly. Our model scans hundreds of Canadian political articles and summarizes it all to give us the current vibe.
The Issues Tracker: What do Canadians actually say they care about? Housing, Canada-US relations, healthcare, all tracked over time so you can see what’s rising and what’s fading.
The Forecast: Where are we headed? Our model combines public sentiment and economic fundamentals to project party support one, three, and six months out.
The Newsletter is a written layer on top of the platform. Published approximately bi-weekly, each issue brings you a curated Snapshot of the data.
The Team
Two Canadians in their thirties who have lived in three provinces coast-to-coast. We don’t work in politics, but we care deeply about the communities across our beautiful northern country.
Matt: Founder, coder, and data analyst who built Northern Vibe out of frustration with election coverage that reduces complex riding-by-riding dynamics to a single national poll number. Has a PhD in Biomedical Engineering from University of British Columbia and works as a biotech scientist.
Caitlin: Co-Founder and political analyst who is passionate about how politics shapes people’s lives, and making that story easier to understand. Has a BA in International Development and Social Anthropology from Dalhousie University and works in the not-for-profit sector.
Where we are right now
Last night, Mark Carney faced the first test of his leadership in three by-elections across Ontario and Quebec. Dr. Danielle Martin and Doly Begum easily secured their ridings in the Liberal strongholds of University-Rosedale and Scarborough Southwest while Liberal candidate, Tatiana Auguste, won the Montreal's North Shore riding of Terrebonne by just over one percentage point, beating out the Bloc’s nominee, Nathalie Sinclair-Desgagné.
With their by-election sweep, the Liberals have increased their seat count in the House of Commons to 174 - securing a parliamentary majority. However, this is still short of the 224 seats our simulation projects if the federal election were held today, reflecting enduring national support for Carney’s Liberal government.
Find your riding, run the numbers, and see how your corner of the country fits into the national picture at NorthernVibe.ca.
The Future
We hope Northern Vibe becomes part of the average Canadian’s political routine, so please share with friends and family, and send us feedback. We want every Canadian to feel more informed and more connected to the political decisions that shape their lives.
Stay curious,
The Northern Vibe Team