BC Premier David Eby dropped the writ on Tuesday, September 22nd, two years after he won the last provincial election, and two years before the next one was scheduled. This means British Columbians vote in 26 days.
Seat projection by The Northern Vibe Project; base map ©Mapbox ©OpenStreetMap.
The Northern Vibe Project has created its first provincial election projection map, and now models each of British Columbia’s 93 provincial districts. Today, the model gives a slight edge to the BC NDP: projecting 46 seats out of 93, against the 47 needed to form a majority government. Eby’s government says that the timing of this early election is based on the new realities of an ongoing tense relationship with the United States, while his critics argue this election call is an effort to take advantage of a fractured opposition. Two days before this election was announced, the leader of the BC Conservative party, Kerry-Lynne Findlay, resigned, a change which was precipitated by months of growing tensions within the BC Conservatives.
Whatever the motive, the timing has created enough suspicion and energy that Eby may have just given the BC Conservatives the one thing they needed to consolidate: a common enemy.
District share card for Vancouver-Langara
In BC: Want to Share Your District’s Projection?
Every district in BC has its own page and every projection now carries a share option with a custom card which can be shared: the district, the projected winner, the margin, and the map.
District share card for Surrey City Centre
Today, the district pages show who held the seat. As candidates are confirmed we will add them, district by district, through to BC voting day: October 24, 2026. If your BC district has a candidate we have missed, let us know!
British Columbia is the first of many provinces to get coverage of its own through The Northern Vibe Project. Subscribe + Follow for updates!
Twenty-six days. Come watch the projections move in real time and let us know what you think about this upcoming election and what it means for your community.
Stay curious,
Matt and Caitlin, from The Northern Vibe Project